One way to make a name for yourself in the public sphere is to be a
contrarian, a curmudgeon, someone who stands against practically all the conventional wisdom, and even unconventional wisdom, and says "You're wrong." Exhibit 1, Steve
Milloy, the director of the ironically titled
JunkScience.com. Source Watch tabulates
his funding sources and others iterate
the errors in his scientific conclusions. Recently he made
several claims about the safety of
CFLs, almost all of which are of
dubious veracity. Now he has written
a new piece for Fox News claiming that the documentary "An Inconvenient Truth", which is required viewing for a Roger Williams University science course, is just one viewpoint that should be balanced with videos touting alternative explanations of global warming.
I'm all for skepticism. That's one of the reasons I am in the scientific biz. But when
2,000 international climatologists sign on to a report saying that climate change is real and humans are the cause, it is time to step back and question whether you are missing something. Understand that I am not making an appeal to authority, or saying majority rules. Within science however, if you have little expertise in a field and you are one of a few voices shouting against the mainstream, maybe the problem is with you. Scientific consensus is already a pretty rare thing; despite popular belief, scientists do not sit around in cabals, decide on a particular dogma, and declare it true by fiat. Science thrives on reasonable dissent.
Of course the key word there is reasonable. Take this snip from Mr.
Milloy's piece:
Last March, the prestigious New York debating society Intelligence Squared sponsored a debate on global warming. On the alarmist side of the debate were the Union of Concerned Scientists Brenda Ekwurzel, NASA climate modeler Gavin Schmidt and University of California oceanographer Richard C. J. Somerville.
The skeptical view of global warming alarmism was presented by Massachusetts Institute of Technology meteorologist Richard S. Lindzen, University of London bio-geographer Philip Stott, and “State of Fear” author Michael Crichton, who is also a Harvard-trained physician and an instructor at Cambridge University and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
A pre-debate poll indicated that, by 2-to-1 (57 percent to 29 percent, with 14 percent undecided), the audience believed that manmade global warming was a crisis. But in the post-debate poll, the audience reversed its pre-debate views — the ranks of the skeptics swelled to 46 percent, the believers plummeted to 42 percent and the undecided declined slightly to 12 percent.
That’s the power of debate. (1,2)
And not at all how science works. Facts are established with research involving several methodologies and much back and forth, not by some forensic society, dog and pony show. Real scientific debates take place over the course of several years, with long-winded review articles and with even longer winded presentations to the scientific community. Being a persuasive debater may change public perception, but it does not alter scientific conclusions.
(1) Okay two things. First, I love the way Milloy labels the sides as "alarmist" and "skeptical", as if skepticism isn't a prerequisite for scientists. Great way to project how objective you are. Second, he points out that Michael Crichton is a physician; a Harvard trained physician. As if the combination of being a physician (professionals who receive little if any research training, and certainly not in the environmental sciences) and having a Harvard education (which has a public perception being being infallible, though it of course is not) had any impact on the truth value of climatologists conclusions.
(2) Note also that public debate, rather than scientific debate, is the modis operandi of creationists. They choose to persuade citizens in a panel discussion rather than engage scientists in research journals. This is because, quite frankly, if all you want to do is win the most people to your point of view regardless of their expertise or the correctness of your point of view, this is the path of least resistance.